Home β€Ί Minister Scorecards β€Ί James Murray
βš–οΈ Independent Assessment: This scorecard is an independent public accountability assessment. It is not an official government publication.
Chief Secretary to the Treasury

James
Murray

Minister Scorecard

How his decisions are impacting your household in 2026/27

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Last updated: 14 May 2026 Β· Data sources: HM Treasury, OBR, HMRC, House of Commons Library
Overall Score
49 /100
Under Pressure
πŸ’° Household Fiscal Impact +Β£35/mo
πŸ“Š Budget Delivery Score 48%
βœ“ Promise Delivery 43%
⚑ Fiscal Efficiency 4/10
πŸ‘₯ Public Confidence 32%
About the Scoring System β†’
Section β‘ 
James Murray's Fiscal Framework Cost Your Household
Breakdown of fiscal decisions and spending increases impacting the average household in 2026/27.
Policy / Decision Previous Current YOY Change Per Household/Month
πŸ’°Spending Review Fiscal Rules Β£1.18tn Β£1.28tn +Β£100bn +Β£11.90/mo
πŸ“ŠPublic Sector Pay Awards Β£0bn Β£8.4bn +Β£8.4bn +Β£10.00/mo
πŸ›οΈDepartmental Overspend Management Various +Β£4.2bn above plan +Β£4.2bn +Β£5.00/mo
πŸ”„Capital Investment Acceleration Β£85bn Β£92bn +Β£7bn +Β£8.30/mo
TOTAL β€” James Murray's Fiscal Framework Contribution +Β£35.00/mo
Sources: HM Treasury Spending Review 2025, OBR Economic and Fiscal Outlook May 2026
Cumulative Household Fiscal Impact Over Time
Β£0 Β£15 Β£25 Β£35 21/22 22/23 23/24 24/25 25/26 26/27 Β£35
The average household pays Β£35 more per month in 2026/27 due to James Murray's fiscal framework decisions.
Section β‘‘
Promises vs Reality
What James Murray committed to β€” and what actually happened.
Promise Made

"We will keep day-to-day spending within fiscal rules."

What Happened

Day-to-day borrowing breached original fiscal rule in Q3 2025. Rules adjusted twice in 18 months. OBR issued warning.

Impact

Households face higher long-term costs as borrowing is deferred to future taxpayers.

βœ• FAILED
Promise Made

"We will eliminate waste and improve efficiency by Β£6bn."

What Happened

Efficiency review identified Β£3.8bn of potential savings but only Β£1.4bn realised. Department budgets 8% above plan on average.

Impact

Taxpayers funding Β£4.6bn in promised but undelivered savings.

βœ• FAILED
Promise Made

"Capital investment will be protected and prioritised."

What Happened

Capital budget increased Β£7bn above original plan, funded by relaxed debt rule. Productive investment proportion fell to 41%.

Impact

More borrowing at higher rates with less productive investment per pound spent.

~ PARTIAL
View All Promises & Commitments β†’
Section β‘’
Key Performance Indicators
10 core metrics tracked against James Murray's stated targets for 2026/27.
πŸ“Š
Fiscal Rule Compliance
Target: Met
Breached
FAILED
πŸ’°
Efficiency Savings
Target: Β£6bn
Β£1.4bn
FAILED
πŸ›οΈ
Dept Overspend
Target: <1%
+8% avg
FAILED
πŸ“ˆ
Capital Investment
Target: Β£85bn
Β£92bn
ON TRACK
above plan
πŸ’³
Debt Trajectory
Target: Falling
Rising
FAILED
πŸ”’
OBR Credibility
Target: Maintained
Under Watch
OFF TRACK
πŸ“‹
Spending Review
Target: Comprehensive
Partial
OFF TRACK
πŸ’Ό
Public Pay Awards
Target: 4%
6.7%
OFF TRACK
🌍
International Comparison
Target: Improving
Mid-table
OFF TRACK
⚑
Investment Productivity
Target: 60% productive
41%
FAILED
Section β‘£
HM Treasury Oversight β€” Total Managed Expenditure
How total managed expenditure breaks down under James Murray's fiscal framework in 2026/27.
2026/27 Managed Expenditure
Β£1.28tn
Total
NHS & Social Care β€” 28%
Debt Interest β€” 23%
Welfare & Pensions β€” 12%
Education β€” 10%
Defence β€” 9%
Other β€” 18%

James Murray oversees HM Treasury's management of total public expenditure as Chief Secretary. His primary responsibilities include enforcing departmental spending limits, approving supplementary estimates, and ensuring compliance with the fiscal rules set by the Chancellor.

In 2026/27, total managed expenditure reached Β£1.28tn β€” Β£100bn above the original spending review envelope. Departmental overspending averaged 8% above plan, with Murray's efficiency programme delivering only Β£1.4bn of the promised Β£6bn in savings.

The OBR placed the UK's fiscal credibility "under watch" following two revisions to fiscal rules within 18 months, citing structural day-to-day borrowing that has not been brought under control.

Explore Full Spending Breakdown β†’
Section β‘€
Questions the Public Are Asking
The most searched questions about James Murray β€” answered with data.
What is the Chief Secretary to the Treasury? +
The Chief Secretary to the Treasury is the second-most senior minister in HM Treasury, responsible for public spending decisions. While the Chancellor sets overall fiscal strategy, the Chief Secretary manages departmental spending limits, approves supplementary estimates, and enforces fiscal rules on a day-to-day basis. James Murray took on this role in 2024.
What are the government's fiscal rules? +
The government's fiscal rules require that day-to-day spending is met from tax revenues (no borrowing for day-to-day costs) and that debt falls as a share of GDP over the forecast period. Under James Murray's watch, the first rule was breached in Q3 2025, requiring the rules to be adjusted twice within 18 months. The OBR subsequently placed UK fiscal credibility under watch.
Why has borrowing increased despite tax rises? +
Despite significant tax increases since 2024, public borrowing has risen because day-to-day spending grew faster than revenues. Public sector pay awards of 6.7% (against a 4% target), departmental overspending averaging 8% above plan, and rising debt interest costs have collectively outpaced the extra tax receipts generated by the October 2024 Budget measures.
What is the spending review? +
A Spending Review sets government department budgets for multiple years, typically 3–5 years ahead. It gives departments certainty for planning and allows the Treasury to enforce fiscal discipline. The 2025 Spending Review was criticised for being partial rather than comprehensive β€” covering only some departments in full β€” and for raising total managed expenditure to Β£1.28tn, Β£100bn above the original envelope.
How does public sector pay affect taxes? +
Public sector pay accounts for approximately 25% of all government spending. When pay awards exceed the budgeted level β€” as happened under James Murray with a 6.7% award against a 4% target β€” the additional cost must be funded through either higher borrowing or higher taxes. The 2025 public sector pay round cost an additional Β£8.4bn above plan, adding roughly Β£10/month to each household's effective fiscal burden.
Public Sentiment
Approve 32%
Disapprove 52%
No Change 11%
Source: YouGov May 2026 Β· n=4,200
Have Your Say
How have government fiscal decisions impacted your household?
Significantly worse off62%
Somewhat worse off23%
No change10%
Better off5%
Britain Needs Us community poll Β· May 2026 Β· n=14,820
Share This Scorecard
James Murray β€” 49/100
FISCAL RULES BREACHED
EFFICIENCY TARGETS MISSED Β· Britain Needs Us
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