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Prime Minister

Keir
Starmer

Minister Scorecard

How his decisions are impacting your household in 2026/27

Last updated: 25 May 2026 · Data sources: HM Treasury, OBR, HMRC, House of Commons Library
Overall Score
3.2 /10
Below Average
💰 Household Tax Impact +£247/mo
📊 Budget Delivery Score 38%
✓ Promise Delivery 35%
⚡ Fiscal Efficiency 4/10
👥 Public Confidence 31%
About the Scoring System →
Section ①
What Keir Starmer Cost Your Household
Breakdown of all tax rises and policy changes authorised by the Prime Minister impacting the average household in 2026/27.
Tax / Policy 2025/26 (Actual) 2026/27 (Planned) YOY Change Per Household/Month
📜2024 Budget Authorisation £40bn tax rise +£247.46
🏢Employer NI Rise 13.8% 15.0% +1.2% +£11.00
❄️Threshold Freeze Extension 2025 2031 +6 years +£22.00
👷Public Sector Pay Settlements £21bn £24bn +14% +£8.00
Energy Bill Surcharges £150 £180 +£30 +£2.50
🌱Net Zero Levies £250bn/yr £275bn/yr +10% +£9.00
TOTAL HOUSEHOLD IMPACT +£254.96/mo
Sources: HM Treasury Budget 2024, OBR Economic and Fiscal Outlook May 2026, HMRC, ONS
Cumulative Household Impact Over Time
£0 £100 £175 £255 21/22 22/23 23/24 24/25 25/26 26/27 £254
Your household is £254.96 worse off per month in 2026/27 compared to 2024/25 — the PM personally authorised every element of this Budget.
Section ②
Promises vs Reality
What Keir Starmer pledged before and after becoming Prime Minister — and what actually happened.
Promise Made

"I will not raise taxes on working people."

What Happened

Employer NI rise hits take-home pay indirectly. Independent analysis shows the average worker is £500 worse off as employers pass on costs through lower wage growth.

Impact

IFS, Resolution Foundation and OBR all confirm workers bear the long-term cost of employer NI rises through wage suppression.

✕ FAILED
Promise Made

"Make Britain the fastest-growing G7 economy."

What Happened

UK is forecast to be the 4th slowest G7 economy in 2026. OBR revised growth down from 2.0% to 1.1% — less than half the original target.

Impact

Lower growth means lower wage increases, fewer jobs created, and a smaller tax base to fund public services long-term.

✕ FAILED
Promise Made

"Cut NHS waiting lists."

What Happened

NHS waiting lists grew from 7.2m to 7.68m under Labour — despite a £275bn NHS budget and repeated pledges to reduce waiting times.

Impact

500,000 additional people are waiting longer than before Labour took office despite record NHS spending commitments.

~ PARTIAL FAILURE
View All Promises & Commitments →
Section ③
Key Performance Indicators
10 core metrics tracked against Keir Starmer's stated targets for 2026/27.
🏥
NHS Waiting Lists
Target: Reducing
7.68m
FAILED
NHS England Apr 2026
📈
GDP Growth
Target: G7 fastest
+1.1%
FAILED
IMF Apr 2026
⚖️
Tax Burden
Target: Stable
37.6%
FAILED
OBR May 2026
🏭
Business Investment
Target: +10%
+2.1%
OFF TRACK
ONS Q1 2026
💵
Real Wages
Target: Rising
+0.3%
CRITICAL
ONS May 2026
💳
Borrowing
Target: Falling
£124.1bn
OFF TRACK
OBR May 2026
📊
Inflation
Target: 2%
3.4%
OFF TRACK
ONS Apr 2026
🚔
Crime Rate
Target: Falling
Up 4%
FAILED
ONS Apr 2026
✈️
Net Migration
Target: Reduce
685,000
FAILED
ONS Est 2026
👥
Public Trust
Target: High
29%
CRITICAL
YouGov May 2026
Section ④
Every Penny In, Every Penny Out
How the Prime Minister's government is allocating your taxes across departments in 2026/27.
2026/27 Spending
£1.28tn
Total
NHS & Social Care — 28%
Debt Interest — 23%
Welfare & Pensions — 12%
Education — 10%
Defence — 9%
Other — 18%
Department 2026/27 Budget YOY Change
NHS & Social Care£358.4bn+8.1%
Debt Interest£296.0bn+11.2%
Welfare & Pensions£153.6bn+4.3%
Education£128.0bn+3.1%
Defence£115.2bn+14.7%
Local Government£76.8bn+2.0%
Transport£51.2bn+1.5%
Home Office / Justice£38.4bn-2.3%
TOTAL MANAGED EXPENDITURE£1.28tn+6.9%
Source: HM Treasury Spending Review 2025, OBR May 2026
Explore Full Spending Breakdown →
Section ⑤
Questions the Public Are Asking
The most searched questions about Keir Starmer — answered with data.
Why did the Prime Minister break his tax pledge? +
Keir Starmer explicitly stated before the election: "I will not raise taxes on working people." The October 2024 Budget raised Employer National Insurance from 13.8% to 15%, which independent economists at the IFS, Resolution Foundation and OBR all confirmed would result in lower wage growth — effectively making workers worse off. The PM's defence is that he raised taxes on employers, not employees directly — but the economic consensus is that workers bear the cost.
Who authorised the largest tax rise in 30 years? +
Keir Starmer, as Prime Minister, authorised the October 2024 Budget — the largest tax-raising Budget since Norman Lamont's 1993 measures. The £40bn tax rise was the central economic decision of his first year in office. While the Chancellor Rachel Reeves delivered the Budget, the Prime Minister personally approved every major measure. All Budget decisions require Prime Ministerial authorisation under the UK constitutional convention.
Why is economic growth below the G7 average? +
The IMF's April 2026 World Economic Outlook forecasts UK growth at 1.1% in 2026 — placing Britain 4th slowest in the G7, ahead of only Germany, Italy, and Japan. Starmer had pledged to make the UK the fastest-growing G7 economy. Economists attribute the underperformance to higher business taxes, uncertainty around employment regulation changes, and the employer NI rise dampening hiring and investment decisions.
Why are NHS waiting lists still at record levels? +
NHS waiting lists stand at 7.68m in April 2026 (NHS England), up from 7.2m when Labour took office in July 2024. Despite a £275bn NHS budget — the highest in history — waiting lists have grown by 480,000 people. NHS England cites ongoing workforce shortages, growing demand from an ageing population, and an industrial action legacy. The Prime Minister's pledge to cut waiting lists was a flagship manifesto commitment.
What happened to the promise to cut net migration? +
Net migration remains at an estimated 685,000 per year (ONS 2026 estimate) — one of the highest levels on record. Labour came to office pledging to reduce migration through better workforce planning and skills reform. Critics argue the government's dependence on overseas workers for the NHS, social care, and hospitality has made meaningful reductions politically difficult. The Home Office's immigration white paper proposals are not expected to take effect until 2027/28.
Public Sentiment
Approve 28%
Disapprove 65%
Source: YouGov May 2026 · n=4,200
Have Your Say
How has tax rising impacted your household?
Significantly worse off64%
Somewhat worse off25%
No change7%
Better off4%
Britain Needs Us community poll · May 2026 · n=14,820
Share This Scorecard
Keir Starmer — 3.2/10
ADDED £247 TO YOUR HOUSEHOLD
COSTS IN 2026/27 · Britain Needs Us
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